Outlook Colombia Coffee Production 2015-2016

Outlook Colombia Coffee  Production 2015-2016 : Colombian production has been rebounding after a large scale replanting programme, that was bought in to replace existing trees with new disease resistant varieties.

The replanting was prompted by the spread of "rust", a fungal disease that devastated harvests in 2013. The country-wide replanting programme lead to fall in production as mature trees were uprooted. In August forecaster MDA Weather Services reported that the southern part of Colombia's coffee belt had seen only 15% of normal rainfall over the past two months, with 30% of normal rains in the north.

Dryness in Columbia is associated with the El Nino effect, with this years event one of the strongest on record. Dryness in the coffee belt threatens a key production period in last three months of the year, although due to its mountainous landscape and tropical location, Columbia can produces coffee year round, with different crops at the various altitudes.

Last month coffee-trading house Volcafe maintained its forecast of 12.5 bags in 2014-2015, and 13m bags in 2015-2016, but warned of the need for rains. The resurgence of Colombia's coffee production is continuing, despite some dry weather in recent months, as replanted coffee trees mature.

In August Colombia, the world's second largest producer of arabica coffee, produced 1.26m bags, up 10% from the same time last year, according to data from the Colombian coffee growers' association Fedecafe.

Fedecafe maintained a production outlook of 12.5m-13,0m bags of coffee in 2015, which has been in place through the summer despite dry weather across some key growing regions. The Colombian government has pinned hopes for 2015 production at 13m tonnes.

The Colombian Coffee Growers Federation has reported that the country’s coffee production for the month of August was 113,000 bags or 9.82% higher than the same month in the previous year, at a total of 1,264,000 bags. This higher performance follows many months of rising production levels and the cumulative production for the first eleven months of the present October 2014 to September 2015 coffee year is now 1,063,000 bags or 9.48% higher than the same period in the previous coffee year, at a total of 12,275,000 bags. Thus with the tail end of the mid-year Mitaca crop coming to the market and production over September likely to be close to 1 million bags, Colombia is on track for the present coffee year to register production of close to 13 million bags.

It is similarly the case in terms of Colombian fine washed arabica coffee exports and the Coffee Growers Federation has reported that coffee exports for the month of August were 206,000 bags or 23.17% higher than the same month last year, at a total of 1,095,000 bags.  This improved performance has contributed to the countries cumulative exports for the first eleven months of the present coffee year to be 1,064,000 bags or 10.50% higher than the same period in the previous coffee year, at a total of 11,198,000 bags. With Colombia a relatively ready and steady competitive seller of their fine coffees and the present October 2014 to September 2015 coffee year with only one month to go, likely that exports for this present coffee year will get close to 12 million bags. 

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