Forecast Cocoa grinding in Asia September 2015

Forecast Cocoa grinding in Asia September 2015 : Cocoa grinding in Asia probably declined 5% in the third quarter as higher prices squeezed profit margins for confectionery makers.

Processing fell to 144,061 metric tons in the three months ended Sept 30 from 151,643 tons a year ago, according to the median of eight analyst and trader estimates in a Bloomberg survey. That would be the lowest for the July–September quarter since 2012, Cocoa Association of Asia data on its website show. Forecasts ranged from declines of 4% to 7%. The group will release data Oct 23, with figures from Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore.

The commodity is heading for its fourth annual gain as output in Ghana, the second-biggest producer, fell amid concern El Nino threatens crops. Prices may rise to US$3,150 a ton in the fourth quarter due to dryness in West Africa and Indonesia, Rabobank International said last month. Grinding in North America declined for a fourth quarter, extending the longest slump since 2009, the National Confectioners Association said last week.

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